
Is risk free trading really a possibility?

The biggest danger for a trader is one that’s not talked about very often. In fact, many of us like to pretend it’s not lurking around the corner, waiting to catch us.
The result is that we blindly run over the edge of the cliff.
We look at the profitability of systems … we look at the risk-per-trade … maybe at the margin requirements … but very often we ignore the elephant in the room that can swipe us out of the game with a quick shake of his head …
The danger I’m talking about is drawdown.
It can be seen on just about any equity chart – I’m talking about the lumps and bumps of our progress. Specifically, the drawdown troughs along the way …
We’ll be happily trundling along, making money – and feeling very pleased with ourselves – we might even be upping our staking levels. That’s how confident we are!
And then they come … losing trade after losing trade …
If you’ve upped your stakes, then your crash may be even steeper (the ones shown on the chart above are pretty modest by many standards). You’ll start to lose faith in your system … you may decide to cut your stakes … or to stop trading completely.
The table on the right shows just how dangerous drawdowns are for our trading health. Every percentage point we lose sets us further and further away from our goals …
Drawdowns are the single biggest cause of failure for traders. They are the thing that makes people jack it all in … that make us abandon profitable strategies … that wipe out trading funds … they cause us to up our stakes during losing periods and reduce stakes in the pullback … and they generally leave us disillusioned with the whole process.
I’ve often talked about how we can reduce the impact of drawdowns and protect ourselves from the worst savages of them. But today I’m going to suggest something far more drastic …
… that we can do away with them altogether.
So, instead of our equity curve looking like the one at the top of the email … it instead looks more like this …
Is risk-free trading really possible?
Sure, it’s a bit less steep, but that’s the rub … if you want to cut drawdowns, you’re not going to be looking at returns of 100%+ per year.
But we mustn’t underestimate the effect of drawdowns on our trading. Consistency beats it every time.
Consider a no-drawdown strategy that’s pulling in around 25% per year (sometimes more, sometimes less, but it’s pretty consistent, and there’s almost zero risk – in fact, it’s never had a drawdown – ever!)
If we start out with just £5,000 …
And a 25% return …
It’ll take us less than 14years to turn it into £100k
It’s also possible to ramp up this strategy, so you’re taking small risks, but pulling in a return near to 50% …
In the same time we’ll have turned that £5,000 into over £1million.
I know there are plenty of systems out there promising to make you £100k by Christmas … but if you’ve been around the trading block a couple of times, you’ll know that these things will sting you with a drawdown that’s just too steep for most traders to stomach.
I’m talking about a different way to trade.
It’s a way that looks slow, but in fact will get you to your financial goals faster, more safely and without the stress.
It’s not a maybe … not an ‘if I get lucky’ … this is a method that’s never taken a loss. At worst, it’s stood still for a period.
Having trading more strategies than I care to remember over the past decade, I believe this has the power to change more people’s lives than any other. I can’t reveal many details here as I’ve signed non-disclosure agreements with the creators. However, they have agreed to me writing you a short report on the strategy to give you more information on how and why it works – and what it can do for you. I’ll contact you next week with details of how you can download your report.
Please look out for my email on Wednesday.









6 comments
glenn
slow and steady but with gains is fine for me. Where are the details? does it really work ?
Tony
Hi Mark,
Did the email go out in the end?
Mark Rose
Hi Tony, I’m afraid there was a delay on this (final bits of data I needed to get my hands on). Hope to get it to you next week.
Darin
With my head nodding agreement to Rob’s comments (especially iron discipline and careful money management) I’ll be interested to see what this is all about. Slow and steady, dull and boring with minimal drawdowns sounds good to me. particularly after some recent experiences on a bad run with a certain Indices based system (which thankfully, is now recovering).
One thing (among many) I’ve learnt in life though, You’ve got keep at it and not lose sight of your goals no matter what you’re attempting to accomplish.
Good article btw Mark. This site and your view on these matters is the one I’m personally most likely to take notice of these days.
Rob
Hi Mark,
Unfortunately i treat most new trading system (holy grail ?!) offers with a weary scepticism these days.
I remember the “glory days” of system sellers in the 2006-2010 period where it all seemed like trading was easy + would make us all millionaires.Of course the only people making money in 95 % of the cases were the system sellers.
These days i see sellers build up the expectation from a few months/weeks before the release to get that pent up excitement ready for the next great system.
I for one don’t fall for it anymore.Trading requires a good system but more importantly iron discipline and very careful money management.I now trade after 5 hard years successfully and it takes a lot more than buying a “wonder” system off the internet…i wish you well.Rob
Mark Rose
Hi Rob, couldn’t agree more – have definitely seen enough of ‘get rich quick’ schemes. As I say, they all suffer from drawdowns, which tend to leave us very disillusioned. This is a much more ‘slow and steady’ approach – I fear that many traders will find it too dull and won’t give it a second look. It really comes down to why are we trading – for thrills, or for an income?